Brexit an abject failure !!!

So, Brexit was supposed to 'secure our borders and allow the uk to stop unwated immigration'. Really ??? - so how many 'unwanted' immigrants have we been able to send back ??? 0.01% - not a very good tally is it ???



Just 0.1 per cent of asylum seekers referred to a Home Office unit that was set up to assess claims following Brexit have been sent back, figures show.

After the loss of the Dublin III Regulation – which allowed some asylum seekers to be returned – the new Third Country Unit was given the task of deciding whether those who arrive in the UK have travelled through a safe “third country” and can be refused asylum.


But official statistics show that, while 15,898 people were told they had been referred to the unit in its first 18 months, only 21 were returned over that period.


Yvette Cooper, the shadow home secretary, seized on the figures as fresh evidence of “shameful mismanagement” of the system, amid the controversy over the “wretched” conditions at the Manston processing centre.

The Labour Party opposed the “inadmissibility” process – calling it a “backlog to the backlog” of undecided claims – and has called for the establishment of bilateral return agreements with France and other key countries instead.

“Labour has warned the Conservative government repeatedly that they are increasing delays, backlogs and costs rather than solving the problem,” Ms Cooper said. “There has been a total collapse in asylum decision-making, with just half the number of decisions being made and a big increase in bureaucracy – at the same time as there are no return agreements in place.


“It’s the worst of all worlds. Refugees aren’t getting the support they need, those who are not refugees aren’t being returned, and asylum costs, hotel costs and overcrowding are all shooting up. This is a damning record of failure.”

The figures were revealed after Rishi Sunak and Sir Keir Starmer clashed over immigration in the Commons, when the prime minister claimed that Brexit had been successful in curbing arrivals.


“We gave the British people a referendum on Brexit. We delivered Brexit. We ended the free movement of people,” he told the Labour leader. “That’s our record on migration policy. It’s not something the honourable gentleman supported. He opposed it at every turn.”


However, EU withdrawal also killed the Dublin Regulation, which allowed asylum seekers to be returned – and the government’s promises of deals with individual countries have not been met.


Instead, claims made by people suspected to have passed through other European countries before reaching the UK have been categorised as “inadmissible” while they are assessed. In practice, this means that asylum seekers are typically left languishing in hotels, or other emergency accommodation, for six months, Labour says.

Hotel accommodation costs up to £150 per night – and the daily costs of the growing backlog of claims is put at £2.4m.

The Home Office has been asked to respond to the criticism of the operation of the Third Country Unit.

 

Yeah Zen matey, very true !!!

Because of the appalling overcrowding and unsanitary arrangements there are cases of Scabies and Diphtheria in the camp.

 

Boris's promise was to get Britain out of Europe by a set date and end the brexit/no brexit saga which had raged on uneccesarily for wayyy too long.He actually fulfilled that promise doing exactly what he said he would do before being voted into office on the back of his Brexit prediction.The topic of immigration was only part of the discussions involved in the brexit/no brexit debate.The subject of stemming immigration has to be considered using the term " unwanted" as opposed to immigration in general.I hate to think what wpil;d have been the outcome of the great Brexit debate had Boris not been given the task.

 

Brexit is of course the very definition of economic insanity…and the UK will pay by far the greatest price. Then there is the mess that leaves Northern Ireland as an isolated entity surrounded by the Republic. Conservatives in the UK seem just as selfish and ignorant in the UK as those in the US. When will they ever learn?

 

It wasnt just conservatives who wanted Britain out of Europe it was originally voted for by over 50% of the British population and wasnt party led.

 

Bullshit !!! - of course it was 'party' led, no only by the scumbag 'nasty sleaze party' members but also Nigel Farridge and the nazis in UKIP !!!

 

what a load of bollox .......a simple fact that 52 % of Brits voted for Brexit and that would have included a good percentage of looney left too....da hell has Nigel Farage got to do with it..or even Nigel Farridge...whoever he is.lol

 

At that time if memory serves me right....Tories were campaigning against brexit,UKIP(Farage) were well known campaigners for brexit and the hard left looney party sat on the fence thanks to their ineffective leader Corbyn.The political preferences of the 52% of Brits who voted for brexit as far as I am aware was never analysed or reported.It is a well documented fact that ultimately the vote split not only the country down the middle but split families with the same political preference too.

 

Seems I'm not the only one to criticise the failure of Brexit !!!


Carney doubles down on claims Brexit has taken a toll on UK economy
But Downing Street insists sky-high inflation is being driven by global factors such as Covid and the war in Ukraine.
Former Bank of England governor Mark Carney has doubled down on his claims Brexit has taken a toll on the pound and sparked higher inflation, suggesting the decision to leave the EU continues to play a part in the UK’s financial woes.

But Downing Street has insisted sky-high inflation is being driven by global factors such as Covid and the war in Ukraine, suggesting Rishi Sunak is no longer dwelling on the “clear decision” made by the British people six years ago.

Mr Carney said he had forecast the exchange rate would stay down after the EU exit, adding to inflationary pressures, and that the economy would shrink.

He argued that this has now come to pass, with the Bank of England forced to raise interest rates in a bid to stem spiralling inflation “despite the fact that the economy is going into recession”.




(PA Graphics)


Mr Carney told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme that the pound still “hasn’t recovered” after moving “sharply” against “all major currencies” following the result of the EU referendum.

He said one of the issues faced by the Bank is the difference in parity and market exchange rates, with “big” and “persistent” discrepancies seen between the two when there is a “long-standing shock to productivity in the economy”.

If I can actually cast your mind back to a few years ago, this is what we said was going to happenMark Carney
“It was predicted that we would get that, it’s coming to pass,” he said.

“If I can actually cast your mind back to a few years ago, this is what we said was going to happen, which is that the exchange rate would go down, it would stay down, that would add to inflationary pressure, the economy’s capacity would go down for a period of time because of Brexit, that would add to inflationary pressure, and we would have a situation – which is the situation we have today – where the Bank of England has to raise interest rates despite the fact that the economy is going into recession.”

He said the UK had taken a “big hit” to its productivity and capacity in the economy, with “tough decisions” needed to remedy this.

“And that’s one of the consequences of a decision taken a few years ago,” he said.

However, No 10 pointed to the Covid pandemic and war in Ukraine as driving forces behind the UK’s current financial woes.

The Prime Minister’s official spokesman said: “What we are seeing is challenges caused by the pandemic and by war in Europe which have been driving factors in terms of inflation and we’re seeing high inflation in a number of countries around the world.”

Asked if he was denying Brexit caused financial issues, he said: “Our focus is on ensuring we have stability and fiscal credibility. That’s what the Chancellor and the Prime Minister are focused on rather than on a decision taken a number of years ago where people made a clear decision.”

 

EX Bank of England governor spouting his opinion?Hardly worth commenting on.I see your method now...trawl the newspapers and internet for stories that you can twist around and use to badmouth the government. Youve done that now in this forum for 2 and a half years unopposed..Your foul mouthed communist bigoted rantings have probably stopped decent people from using the forum.Shame really.You remind me of a modern day Alf Garnet.

 

Where is your evidence to counter the statistics which proves my point hmmm ??? As Farridges little puppy, crawl back into your kennel until you've grown up a bit more.

 

VINDICATED: !!! The Government's own financial watch-dog, the Office of Budget Responsibility proves that Brexit has been an abject failure !!!

So Ben Dixon, I look forward to receiving an apology from you !!!


The latest evidence on the impact of Brexit on UK trade
Our March 2022 EFO was published just over a year since the end of the transition period. In this box, we presented the latest evidence for the impact of Brexit on UK trade and considered the UK's recent trade performance relative to other advanced economies.

This box is based on CPB, OECD and ONS data from February and March 2022 .

It is more than five years since the Brexit referendum, two years since the UK left the EU, and just over a year since the transition period ended. Since then, the implementation of the Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA) has proceeded at different speeds on either side of the Channel. EU countries applied full customs requirements and checks on UK exports at the start of 2021, while the UK delayed the introduction of full customs requirements on EU imports until January 2022 and full health, safety and security checks to the second half of 2022.a

In the year following the end of the transition period, overall UK trade volumes fell, although with some surprising compositional effects:

• Goods. Despite tighter restrictions on the EU side of the border, UK goods imports from the EU have fallen by more than UK goods exports to the EU (Chart H, left panel). In the fourth quarter of 2021, goods imports from the EU were down 18 per cent on 2019 levels, double the 9 per cent fall in goods exports to the EU. The weakness of EU imports is more striking compared to the 10 per cent rise in goods imports from non-EU countries, suggesting some substitution between them. However, there is little sign to date of UK goods exports to non-EU countries making up for lower exports to the EU, with the former down 18 per cent on 2019 levels.b
• Services. UK services trade with the EU has fallen by more relative to 2019 levels than non-EU trade (Chart H, right panel). However, much of this decline is likely to reflect the impact of the pandemic, particularly in sectors such as travel and transport that accounted for a greater proportion of pre-pandemic EU services trade than non-EU. UK service exports to the EU and rest of the world have recovered to around 5 and 10 per cent below 2019 levels while imports of services from the EU are still down by over 30 per cent.

Chart H: EU and non-EU goods and services trade


The seemingly paradoxical weakness in UK imports from the EU relative to exports to the EU since the end of the transition period is likely the result of a combination of factors. This could partly relate to rising prices of energy imports, which are largely sourced from outside the EU. Some of the apparent substitution between EU and non-EU imports might also reflect changes in reporting trade flows or goods that always originated outside the EU no longer passing through the EU on their way to the UK. Brexit-related effects are likely to include the fact that the UK is a relatively small market for individual EU exporters, so it may not be worth the cost of additional paperwork to continue to export to the UK. One survey shortly after the end of the transition period found that 17 per cent of German companies had stopped exporting to the UK, at least temporarily.c Global supply bottlenecks are likely to have contributed to the weakness in some EU imports, with machinery and transport equipment accounting for around half of the import shortfall at the end of 2021 compared to 2019 levels. Stockpiling likely also boosted EU imports in 2019 before the UK’s departure from the EU, though imports from the EU are still much lower than even pre-referendum levels.

Comparing our recent overall trade performance with other advanced economies suggests that the UK saw a similar collapse in exports as other countries at the start of the pandemic but has since missed out on much of the recovery in global trade.d UK and aggregate advanced economy goods export volumes fell by around 20 per cent during the initial wave of the pandemic in 2020. But by the fourth quarter of 2021 total advanced economy trade volumes had rebounded to 3 per cent above their pre-pandemic levels while UK exports remain around 12 per cent below (Chart I, left panel). The UK therefore appears to have become a less trade intensive economy, with trade as a share of GDP falling 12 per cent since 2019, two and a half times more than in any other G7 country (Chart I, right panel).

Chart I: UK and advanced economy trade


While additional trade with other counties could offset some of the decline in trade with the EU, none of the agreements concluded to date are of a sufficient scale to have a material impact on our forecast. The Government’s own estimate of the economic impact of the free-trade agreement with Australia, the first to be concluded with a country that does not have a similar arrangement with the EU,e is that it would raise total UK exports by 0.4 per cent, imports by 0.4 per cent and the level of GDP by only 0.1 per cent over 15 years.f

In summary, there is little in the data since the TCA was implemented to suggest the assumption of a 15 per cent reduction in trade intensity as a result of Brexit is no longer a central estimate. But these effects are likely to take several years to be fully realised, so with only just over a year having passed since the end of the transition period, and given the difficulty abstracting from the impact of the pandemic, we will continue to keep this assumption under review.

 

Never wanted it .

Some that did played the race card to curb immigration .

If the Scots achieve a second referendum then I want one for this as it was much closer.

 

It's Farage not Farridge ...and I'm a Tory voter never UKIP as I personally don't like Farage,so your wrong yet again. You dont make any points of your own you just quote news reports. I really cant be bothered anymore your just a fat old bigot with a foul mouth and half a brain. I guess its your age ...its not uncommon for old people to loose their way and become bitter and confrontational.Talking of dog kennels I'm off to talk to next doors dog It talks way more sense than you do.

 

And apology was there none, and you still haven't come up with any evidence to counteract the statistics quoted by the government's own economic department the OBR !!!

 

What economics department ? The Tories have made a mess even though they got rid of Kamikaze Kwarteng . All will be revealed soon on how weak and lily livered this Tory Government is when it comes to windfall taxes on the large Energy companies .I am fed up of their old weak excuse " It will prevent investment" Absolute TOSH . The Energy companies need to invest to protect their own futures and those of their shareholders as they will be forced to change with an ever increasing demand for non fossil based fuel.

The truth of the matter is the Tories place them selves first first before the country and the electorate are beginning to wake up and smell the coffee as more and more see that this Government is in turmoil.

It needs to go NOW

 

More evidence of economic failure from the Tory Government

 

Interesting. In my years as an economist this is one of the more dramatic illustrations of validating economic theory. The other, unfortunately, is closer to home for me. When RR, aw shucks, clopped into town in 1980 the gradual trend towards more equity in the US hit a brick wall. No one since has been able to undo the damage done by Reagan and his ultra rich minions and the the concentration of wealth in the US is an international disgrace. How the right convinces so many people who have lost so much to vote for their oligarchs is baffling.

 

More lies and false claims.

Tories are not fit to Govern

Truss claims UK recession can be averted - Financial Times
https://www.ft.com › ... › World › Conservative Party UK

4 Aug 2022 — Liz Truss, the Tory leadership frontrunner, claimed on Thursday that she can avert a recession if she becomes prime minister, on the day the ...


Today

Recession looms as UK economy starts to shrink - BBC News
https://www.bbc.co.uk › news › uk-63582201

3 hours ago — The UK appears to be heading into recession after the latest official figures showed the economy shrank between July and September.