2019-nCoV Coronovirus (COVID-19]

Discussion in 'Science and Technology' started by Vanilla Gorilla, Jan 29, 2020.

  1. Vanilla Gorilla

    Vanilla Gorilla Go Ape

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    April 24th you had 2400 deaths on that day, 900,000 cases in total. Match the same growth rate, now you have 3.3 million cases you should have had nearly 9000 deaths yesterday, not 893

    So what you are really telling me is that death rate has dropped 90% on summer, the warmer weather

    Or do it by number of daily cases two weeks prior

    April 10th, 34000 cases reported, two weeks later 2400 death.

    July 960 deaths, two weeks previously 43,500 cases reported on 27th June,l. Match the same rate you should have had 3000 deaths

    So death rate has dropped by 68% in summer

    See, most of the world; shit at maths
     
  2. hotwater

    hotwater Senior Member Lifetime Supporter

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    It appears once again your math professor has failed you.

    You know as well as I the average age of Covid-19 patients has dropped by 15 years since April which makes a huge difference.

    That coupled with experience in the ICU of actually treating patients with Covid-19 would naturally lead to a decline in deaths.
     
  3. Vanilla Gorilla

    Vanilla Gorilla Go Ape

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    What were Trump's exact words again, it was going to disappear in the warmer weather

    It was obviously never going to disappear in summer, but you can't even bring yourself to admit it is less deadlier, less infectious in the warmer weather becuase it might sound like you are agreeing with Trump

    Fauci never said "patients" for the 15 year thing, you know that's a flat out lie

    Better experience in treating ICU patients alone isn't going to drop the death rate by 90% in 3 months

    Every little excuse in the book except the one that kind of sounds like Trump was right
     
  4. Tyrsonswood

    Tyrsonswood Senior Moment Lifetime Supporter

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    "It's one person, coming in from China" ~ Donald J. Trump

    That one? ^^^


    “You have 15 people, and the 15 within a couple of days is going to be down to close to zero” ~ Donald J. Trump

    That one? ^^^


    "It's a hoax" ~ Donald J. Trump

    That one? ^^^
     
    hotwater likes this.
  5. hotwater

    hotwater Senior Member Lifetime Supporter

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    Your response is laughable
     
  6. Vanilla Gorilla

    Vanilla Gorilla Go Ape

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    The one about the warmer weather

    Even though he used the word disappear, which of course it didn't, many still can't bring themselves to so much as even mention the weather
     
  7. Vanilla Gorilla

    Vanilla Gorilla Go Ape

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    A kind of fake nervous laugh where you look around to see if anyone's watching?
     
  8. Tyrsonswood

    Tyrsonswood Senior Moment Lifetime Supporter

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    So why do you keep praising the guy for getting it right, when he didn't?
     
  9. Irminsul

    Irminsul Valkyrie

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    I tell you who's fault this is. All those climate change stooges. "keep the earth cool" they said. Well fuck you.
     
  10. Vanilla Gorilla

    Vanilla Gorilla Go Ape

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    A clue something else might be going on, a side effect of the virus or treatment

    ‘Almost every organ’: NYC doctor on blood clots in virus patients


    "The autopsies also revealed that large bone marrow cells called megakaryocytes - which typically don’t travel outside the bone and lungs - circulated to other parts of the body.

    “We found them in the heart and the kidneys and the liver and other organs,” Dr Rapkiewicz said.

    “Notably in the heart, megakaryocytes produce something called platelets that are intimately involved in blood clotting.”

    Dr Rapkiewicz said myocarditis, or inflammation of the heart, wasn’t detected in the autopsies, though the condition was initially suspected in the early days of the coronavirus outbreak
     
  11. Vanilla Gorilla

    Vanilla Gorilla Go Ape

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    Because he is one of the few government officials of any type around the world to have the balls to even mention it
     
  12. Vanilla Gorilla

    Vanilla Gorilla Go Ape

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  13. hotwater

    hotwater Senior Member Lifetime Supporter

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    The CDC Predicts Deaths Will Soar in These 12 States

    The nationwide death toll is rising again, and the CDC just released its new list of where fatalities will rise. "This week's national ensemble forecast predicts that there will likely be between 140,000 and 160,000 total reported COVID-19 deaths by August 1st," reports the agency. "The state-level ensemble forecasts suggest that the number of new deaths over the next four weeks" will rise in the following states.

    1. Arizona

    With 113,000 cases and 2,047 deaths, Arizona is wracked with coronavirus—and an upcoming heat wave won't help. "Arizona is currently suffering from one of the worst outbreaks of Covid-19 with the highest daily reported cases per capita in the country," reports Vox. "Meanwhile, Phoenix hit a high of 109 degrees Fahrenheit in recent weeks…From hampering surge capacity plans for hospitals to increasing people's likelihood of getting exposed to the virus while sheltering indoors from the heat, heat can make things harder." Meanwhile, Republican "Gov. Doug Ducey did not announce significant new measures to slow the spread of COVID-19 in Arizona on Thursday despite pleas for aggressive action from doctors, mayors and some state lawmakers,
     
  14. Tyrsonswood

    Tyrsonswood Senior Moment Lifetime Supporter

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    ^^^^^ But it will disappear with the heat, right?
     
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  15. hotwater

    hotwater Senior Member Lifetime Supporter

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    ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^6

    The positivity rates are off the charts;

    25% in Arizona,
    20% in Florida (25% in Miami-Dade County)
    15% in Texas,(1 in 4 residents in Houston are testing positive for the novel coronavirus)

    Now compare that to Massachusetts 1.8% and holding steady
     
  16. KL71

    KL71 Yanks since '81/Fins since '83 :)

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    Even less than that for us in Connecticut.
     
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  17. Vanilla Gorilla

    Vanilla Gorilla Go Ape

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    "South Carolina has 50,691 cases and 905 deaths, and a 400%+ increase in cases for young adults since June 1st. "We're going to be worse than New York," one Charleston ER nurse told The Daily Beast, which notes that the state is reporting more cases per capita than most countries. "But at least in New York, people took the virus seriously. Here, we're in a war zone that people refuse to accept." Folks are partying, there are bike shows and beach fests. "We've completely lost control of the situation," one doctor told the Beast. Republican Gov. Henry McMaster reiterated he won't issue a mask mandate."

    The CDC Predicts Deaths Will Soar in These 12 States | Eat This Not That
     
  18. Vanilla Gorilla

    Vanilla Gorilla Go Ape

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    It's still a mystery apparently

    Coronavirus: Cases are rising globally, yet fewer people are dying


    Whether the world is in a second wave of the pandemic, or still in the grip of the first, is up for debate. But what is for sure is something remarkable has changed with more recent COVID-19 infections: fewer people appear to be dying.

    The question is why, and if it will stay that way.

    It’s not just a trend in the US. A study in Milan found a “dramatic drop” in mortality from 24 per cent of those hospitalised in March to just 2 per cent in May. In England, the death rate of people with COVID-19 in hospital has gone from 6 per cent to 1.5 per cent.

    [​IMG]

    It sounds like good news. Certainly, scores of people who would have died if they had caught coronavirus earlier in the pandemic are still alive because they became infected more recently.

    COVID cases are growing but there are questions why deaths are falling
     
  19. Vanilla Gorilla

    Vanilla Gorilla Go Ape

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    USA

    [​IMG]
    Percentage of overall US tests (bars) compared to percentage positive tests (line). Picture: COVID Tracking Project
     
    Last edited: Jul 11, 2020
  20. unfocusedanakin

    unfocusedanakin The Archaic Revival Lifetime Supporter

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    Cite your source for this graph or it's meaningless.
     

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