Central Banks of Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Kuwait have started selling off their US$ reserves and stock Euros. Even European countries like Sweden are reducing their dollar reserves. This doesn't mean they will sell all, but a lot for sure. The dollar will continue to crash for awhile and there's not much the US can do. The rising interest rates in the US have keep interest in the dollar high, but now that the fed has said they'll stop raising rates for awhile, the US dollar is being sold off bigtime. In fact the Saudis and other mideastern countries were just looking for an excuse to dump the more volatile greenback in favor of the much more stable Euro. What this means has already been hinted at with oil prices going higher and higher. As long as the dollar is sold off, especially by the big oil producing countries, it will cost Americans more to buy oil. In the longer term, this could be the single BIGGEST disaster in Bush's presidency. It means the WORLD WILL NO LONGER FINANCE THE US DEBT! The US is in BIG TROUBLE it would seem. If the US goes bankrupt what will happen (more war, I guarantee!).
I'm wondering - since the dollar is barely 2% lower against the Euro compared to one year ago, what is the definition of "crashing"?
The $US used to be worth 1.30 Euros, now it's worth .79 Euro. That's at least a 40% drop in the value of the $. Sorry Pointbreak, but YOU don't get to pick the starting date (conservative trolls like you try to manipulate data by picking irrelevant starting points). Most countries look beyond ONE YEAR for their "profits and losses", unlike Americans. That is America's great failing, not being able to see more than a year at a time into the past or future. Now even the Russians are gonna dump the US$ as they see the Ruble as being more stable! (The $US has fallen 13.8% against the Ruble since 2002.) What does that say about the US$ when even the RUSSIANS don't want it anymore! http://www.themoscowtimes.com/stories/2006/05/03/045.html
No, a dollar was never worth EUR1.30. It peaked at EUR1.20 in 2000 and again in 2001. And I don't think using the peak value is particularly valid - that's just a way to make the decline look big. How much has the dollar fallen against the euro in one year? 2%. How much has it fallen since the Euro was launched in 1999? 6.8%. This is not a collapse, unless you believe that in "normal" circumstances, exchange rates never move more than tiny increments. You mean exactly like you did? I thought a one year measure seemed pretty fair in comparison. Then why is our economy outperforming Europe and Japan's?
in a word: WAR. Wartime economies always boost GNP. but it doesn't produce any real increase in capital unless we WIN the war and STEAL some resources. Or keep the war going and try to steal the resources, which is what is happening now. Unfortunately Iraq's oil output is now lower than b4 the war. In fact some ppl believe the whole invasion of Iraq was to prevent Saddam from pricing his oil in Euros instead of $ (besides taking control of the oil itself) http://www.thirdworldtraveler.com/Iraq/Iraq_dollar_vs_euro.html Since it's introduction the Euro has been far more stable vs. other currencies than the US $.
Explain to me how this makes sense. Military spending is just government spending. It has no magical properties. In fact it is less productive than other government spending, since an F-16 produces no economic benefits, whereas a bridge or a better educated citizen would produce dividends in the future by strengthening the economy, while the F-16 just sits there doing nothing. So if it is government spending that boosts economies, Europe and Japan should be outperforming the US. Their governments spend far more than the US. But their economies aren't outperforming the US. Why? How much Kuwaiti oil did we steal in 1991? How much Iraqi oil have we stolen this time? The answer is zero. Yes, we've been through that already. Nobody could explain why the US didn't block the Iraqi move to Euros, since the UN controlled Iraqi exports through the oil for food program. And when the exchange opens, which I think is any day now, people are going to have to explain why the sky hasn't fallen. Because it won't. Again this is a theory which is not supported by facts. When the euro was introduced, it fell steadily for two years, losing 30% of its value by late 2000. Not exactly "stable". Is it so hard to believe that all currencies rise and fall in relation to one another? Or is it your theory that only the US$ falls, that this is the first time it has done so, and this proves America is doomed?
Today's quote on the US$ = .777 Euros and still dropping... Reverse quote $1.286 US = 1 Euro. We're getting closer to the all time low for the $ vs the Euro...
the canadian dollar's at around 90 cents us and climbing how's the mexican currency doing? when do we get the north american euro equivalent?
you know sadam hussain's decision to sell oil for euros instead of dollars was the triggering point that started the whole afghan/iraqi thing and probable the engineering of the 9/11 excuse for it. this is interesting. by doing so rumsfield/cheney (forget bush he's just warming the chair for them) appearently really did loose the trust of the rest of the world. so what is he they going to do now? iran is a gateway into russia and its former external buffer states. but with nato allies dumping dollars for euros? and the saudi's? if bush thought he was going to stem the hemmoraging of the dollar by regeme chainge in iraq, surely even rumsfield realizes there are only so many fronts that even the most powerful military can sustain if it comes to that. it is obvious that american republicans think american republicans should dictate world power, the've openly said so, have been openly saying so for years. i can see why even bush sr called this bunch crazies. i'm just curious to see what's going to happen. the day without automobiles will come without the're ever having to be banned. i can see that on the wall plain as day. but how many more stupid and futile wars before we can no longer afford to fight them? 2012 isn't predestined, it's just a year. an election year. the next presidential election year after the one comming up in 2008. nothing to do with belief, but maybe everything to do with politics. and no, nothing silly like the end of the planet or our species. but everything chainges in time. a once great but deeply flawed nation, even at the hight of its greatness. well brittan had an empire once. and greatly mellowed, at least for a while and in some ways, once they lost it. america too will someday join the old retired empires club. someday soon maybe? every nation in western europe once lost an empire, and bennifitted from loosing it. it IS something to look forward to. =^^= .../\...
The US is having to continue to raise interest rates to finance its debt and keep the dollar in demand. This will continue indefinitely, and I predict they're going to have to raise it even faster now than before to keep ppl interested in buying $$. Inflation is soaring again thanks to the fact that the dollar is weaker. All those things we import, including oil are getting more expensive by the day, and so our buying power weakens. The rest of the world is quite aware of what's happening financially to America. Our record borrowing and debt to finance war after war means our children and grandchildren will suffer much more financially than we ever did. The American middle class will get poorer and more will slip into poverty. (Just think of all the baby boomers who will reach retirement age with no nest eggs and a social security system that no longer provides enough money to live on). Meanwhile the middle classes of Europe and Asia will catch up and surpass America in comfort and security (it's already happening). This is what happens when an empire declines. It's slow but inevitable. It happened to Rome and Germany and all the big ones. Distant wars drain your treasury, bankrupting your country, as your leaders fail to take action. Of course THEY always make out well, looting the remains of the country's wealth. So you may see the dollar come back a bit as interest rates rise. But eventually even our closest allies will tire of backing up the dollar and financing our debt. Then things will decline at a much faster pace. Look out!
Good old fashion war used to be able to gain some strength there but now with the likely use of nukes, the idea is not a very good options and these little battles we are having only drain us economically and also our credibility with others. Yup said it back in the early 90's we were heading for some shit with short sighted instant profit ideals. Unless an extreme cultural change happens like no more excess waste and such the US will be held by another if it exists that long. People tend to become violent when backed into a corner and do stupid things.
that administration seems to have a real hard time with cause and effect. I wonder if bush even listens to his advisores, I can just imagine how it goes with him. "but mr pres if we do that,, " I dont want to hear any buts im the president do what i'll say or i'll tell and by the way, war hasnt realy been profitable since we stopped pilliging, it looks good for awhile, everyone having something to do and all, but future generations foot the bill for all that expense
Actually Stef, it's more like "...do what Cheney told me to say or i'll tell...". Bush doesn't need advisors since he has not been the one determining any aspect of the administration's policy since the neocons assumed power. Ol georgie porgie is just the window dressing to give the public and media someone to focus on whilst those with the real cognitive acumen and ideological intent further their aims behind closed doors.