In my political travels over 6 decades I have been a member of the Greens and stood as a candidate twice. Somehow I always return to the Greens or Labour so I guess it says a lot about my politics, although I'm now a member of the Workers Party. Under Zak Polanski the Greens have had a massive surge in popularity and membership. The rifts in Your Party have sure helped this. But can they maintain these levels of popularity. I feel they probably have reached the heights of their popularity and Labour the lowest. Polanski is gonna have to develop a mighty thick skin and get the very best out of his media team to maintain these highs in the face of media aggression. A change in Labour leadership to someone more on the left could also see a dip in the Green surge. Sadly I can see a Reform - Tory coalition winning the next GE. A lot of folk who swallow the media lies are looking for elements of society to blame more than political solutions. And Reform sure as are one to blame certain groups of people. The aftermath of a Reform victory will be to continue blaming folk and trade unionists will probably be the next in line after migrants. But sometimes we gotta swallow the poison to make us better. Reform will be a disaster, the memory of Labour's disaster will still be in the memory of folk and then, and only then, I believe there will be a new mightier Green surge. Will Polanski still be in charge? Who knows, but if Your Party fails to take off as many predict a certain Zara Sultana may have jumped ships and become Green leader. Just a bit of political thinking and predictions by little old me. UK politics is in interesting yet potentially dangerous times.
I doubt that very much. Corbyn was leader of the Labour Party and lost a general election. If he wasn't electable then, in that party, he's unlikely to be electable in any new one. Agreed. I can't see Labour picking a new leader with views to Left. However I do see a leadership challenge coming to fruition if only they can decide on a stalking horse. I think the mass media were really hoping that would be Andy Burnham a few months ago. I see it being a full win by Reform. No coalition. I do agree that people are sucked in by Farage's and Tice's words and are 'looking over there' at migrants etc rather than those charlatans who have whipped them up to see things their way. I think such a win would be worse than that. Much worse. Agreed they will be a disaster. They already are a disaster; we can see them for what they are, yet some of the public seem so convinced they are great that they'll vote for them. It's not just American politics that's screwed up. I think its a wave sweeping the world and it'll need to run its course. As for green surge- I think the memory of the Conservatives and this (Labour) government will still be in the mind of the electorate when the next GE comes around and they'll vote for Reform or LibDems. Some will vote for the Greens but not enough, to get them elected. I predicted the 2010 coalition and also that the smaller party in it, would suffer for a long time due to not sticking to their manifesto committments. Such momentus things over recent times with more to come, I'm sure, will reset their appeal. Probably. They haven't before struck me as a party to display knee-jerk reactions. I doubt that, though, in time, we'll find out. Having thought some more about that notion, I think with her background as Corbynite/leftist she will turn off the taps on a green surge. That history will, I think, be too much in the electorate's face to see them voting Green, if she's leader. However, also, such leftism was deemed to be a position of unelectability. Then Reform came along and broke that normal left/right debate/basis. And many previous leftists now support the Reform narrative (look, migrants are the cause if everything bad) which means there's even less of them to vote Green. This far out, we can't be sure. That old adage, 'a week is a long time in Politics' will sustain. This far out, I expect it will be one of three possibilities. 1. A LibDem coalition with Labour/Green/independents - the smallest singular group necessary to govern. 2. A LibDem win outright 3. A Reform win outright The optimist in me thinks numerical order. The pragmatist in me thinks reverse numerical order. I genuinely expect a reform win outright will bring about the end of the UK. NI and Scotland will both go. The little Englanders will have 'won' except it will be a loss because its status will shrink. Empire will be seen by everyone at that stage, to be over. That could bring about the demise of the Monarchy by which time the question may be, "what is England for?!" Me too. Predictable but for the unpredictable lol. Potentially dangerous, Agreed.
